How Scoring Works

What a score means

A Cred Points score is a factual statement: of all the dated, publicly tracked predictions a creator made in a given topic area, how many resolved correctly? For example, a finance score of “71% accurate across 45 resolved calls” means 32 of those 45 predictions turned out to be right. Nothing more.

Scores are not investment advice and not a prediction market. They do not tell you whether to buy, sell, or hold anything. They do not reflect a creator’s intent, expertise, or future performance.

How claims are recorded

A claim enters the system in one of two ways:

• A creator (or a third party challenging them) tags @bullbull in a post containing a falsifiable, dated prediction.
• Our systems identify publicly posted predictions matching our criteria (specific, dated, verifiable).

The bot records the claim, the date, the topic vertical, and the creator’s handle. Claims are visible in the original thread.

How claims are resolved

When a claimed event has a clear, publicly verifiable outcome, we mark the claim as resolved. Resolution uses authoritative public sources (official results, published market data, verified news reports). The bot replies in the original thread with the verdict and updates the creator’s score.

Claims that cannot be objectively verified, or where the outcome remains disputed, are held in an unresolved state and do not affect the score until resolved.

Score factors

The overall Cred Points score within a vertical is a composite of four factors, each explainable and auditable:

• Accuracy — the raw percentage of resolved predictions that were correct.
• Difficulty — predictions that ran against consensus or were unlikely to happen at time of posting count more when correct.
• Recency — recent performance is weighted more heavily than historic results.
• Volume — a larger sample of resolved calls produces a more reliable score; a single correct call does not generate a high score.

Every score change is auditable: you can always see which specific resolved claim moved a creator’s number, and by how much.

Appealing or correcting a score

We believe scored individuals have a right to query and contest their scores. If you are a creator with a Cred Points score and you believe:

• A claim was recorded that you did not make,
• A claim was resolved incorrectly (wrong verdict or source),
• A prediction was ambiguous and should not have been tracked, or
• You wish to request removal of your score,

please email hello@bullbull.ai with the subject line “Score correction request” and include:

• Your X handle,
• The specific claim (link to the original post if possible),
• What you believe is incorrect and why.

We will review and respond within 14 business days. Where a correction is warranted, the score and the public record will be updated accordingly.

What we do not do

• We do not offer a prediction market, betting, or wagering service.
• We do not provide investment advice or recommend any financial product.
• We do not infer opinions or intent — scores reflect only what was publicly stated and publicly verifiable.

Contact

Questions about methodology or a specific score: hello@bullbull.ai